Three-month pilot · From Q1 2027

See the cascade before the signature.

A three-month, neutrally facilitated pilot for embassies, intelligence teams, universities and boards: map every channel a decision crosses, forecast its cost in ranges, and leave your team able to run the method.

Who is reading?

A decision and its consequences, the facilitator and the room, past and future, on one continuous surface.
The case

One order. Every channel.

On 27 February 2026 a nine-word order set off a cascade that is still running. Every one of these channels was documented in public sources before the first strike.

Harm widens from days to decades. Acting inside the entropy window, while outcomes are still open, costs least.

The pilot trains teams to count these channels before a decision, not after it.

Your desk

The question on your desk

What you receive

Three things your team keeps.

Full-channel decision brief

Every channel a decision crosses, from lives and energy to food prices and language, each with a named owner.

Entropy-window map

When outcomes are still open and acting is cheapest, and when that window closes.

Range forecasts and a decision log

Cost reported as ranges, not point guesses. One clock, one ledger, dated review points.

The pilot

Three months, one ledger.

Month 1

Map

Choose one live decision. Map its field and every channel it crosses, with evidence tiers.

Month 2

Model

Forecast each channel in ranges, find the entropy window, and build options in a joint session.

Month 3

Decide and transfer

Write the full-channel brief, rehearse it with decision-makers, and hand the method to your team.

Reviewed at
  1. 3
  2. 12
  3. 24
  4. 36+ months

Two or more countries or organisations, three or more delegates each, 50/50 gender balance. Scales to seven countries.

Field notes

Timing is everything.

Four places where reading the window decides the outcome.

Firefighter at work
firefighter.jpg
FirefighterAct in the first minutes.A fire, like a cascade, is cheapest to stop early.
Pilot in the cockpit
pilot.jpg
PilotChecklists before take-off.One clock, shared checklists, a crew that speaks up.
Paraglider in flight
paragliding.jpg
ParaglidingRead the air before launch.Conditions come as ranges. A good launch respects them.
Ford Mustang in Oxford White with two blue stripes
mustang.jpg
MustangOxford White, two blue stripes.Blue is the colour of competence.
Facilitator

Mateusz (Matthew) Stasiak

Pilot supervisor and neutral facilitator

20+
years in group dynamics and training trainers
20,000+
hours of facilitation, coaching and advisory work
50+
people in the team he built at ITFF, 2009–2026
94%+
participant satisfaction under ISO 9001 and 29990

Participants from Boeing, GE Aviation, BNP Paribas, Danone and Google, and work for the European Commission. MA in Pedagogy, University of Łódź. PhD-level course design with Łódź University of Technology and AGH Kraków. Author of Layering of the Universe (2026).

Principles

Built to be checked.

Evidence tiers

Every claim is tagged, from [E] established to [P] predicted and falsifiable.

Kill criteria

Published before launch, so an idea that fails stops early.

Neutral

No party's position. One shared ledger for everyone in the room.

Fair terms

Agreed rates, plus an optional performance component the client decides. Win-win or no deal.

Next step

Start with a conversation.

A short online discovery call to set the pilot's objectives and agree which institution leads and hosts it. Scoping now for starts from Q1 2027.

Email[email protected]
Phone+48 607 711 954
LinkedInmatthew-stasiak

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